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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
by Annie Duke
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About this book
Former professional poker player Annie Duke examines how people can make sound decisions when outcomes remain uncertain. Drawing on poker, business, sports and everyday choices, she separates the quality of a decision from the luck of its result. The book explores hindsight, motivated reasoning, confidence and the value of expressing beliefs as probabilities rather than certainties. Duke also argues for habits and groups that make it easier to question assumptions and update conclusions when new evidence appears. The result is an accessible, case-driven discussion of risk, judgement and the limits of what anyone can know in advance.
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